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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 9 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Canada. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to win a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will try to receive my 2nd seat this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at the $25k prize, then I will probably take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is by far the safest play on the board this week and she has 100+ stage upside. She’s a lock within my money games this week and I actually don’t really see the way she loses. I believe a submission would be Moras’ best opportunity but she isn’t very capable of getting the battle to the ground, so that I see her getting dominated on the feet before the ref measures. She is by far my favorite play at the $9k range and she is a -750 on the gambling line. I enjoy playing it safer in cash games and I think she’s a secure win this week.
GPP play of this week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is an easy one for me this week and he’ll be the chalk of the week. I will continue to be obese on Merab though. His style is exactly what we want on DraftKings. He has a nonstop speed and he shoots takedowns very often. He’s 22 landed takedowns in his first 3 UFC fights which is his very best path to victory in this matchup too. Even with 2 losses on his album from these 3 conflicts, he averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This isn’t my GPP drama of the week because I know he’s going to win, I just know IF he wins that he will score highly, and he needs to easily reach value on an $8.6k price tag.
Underdog play of the week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I must select Cowboy as the puppy of the week. His fights are always action packed and the winner of this fight will definitely be about the first-place lineup. Especially if it is Cowboy. He almost always scores over 100 points in his wins and he has 5-rounds to work with here. I really don’t find a circumstance in which he wins and does not end up about the $25k lineup. I’ll be obese on Saturdays this week, but this really is an all-in struggle for me. If Cowboy is not in a one of my lineups, you then will see Iaquinta there. I will be thicker on the Cowboy side though and I think he gets the job done by submission.
Fade of this week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be very surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st place lineup this week. I would be amazed to see him get even 10x his $8k price tag and that is why I will have zero lineups with this week. Not counting his struggle with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins earlier that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is just not good for DraftKings. He will have to knock Brunson out if he is going to score highly and he isn’t a power puncher. I think you are better off carrying Elias from TKO on the gambling line in +870. I really don’t find any reason to invest in this week at GPPs because he does not have the ceiling we want to win that large $25k. I think he’s fine in money games because a 65-point win wouldn’t kill us . However he’s a simple fade of this week for me this Saturday.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown each fight on the card and give my entire DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I’m 71-45 to get +233.79un (+$23,379) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

Read more: todaysportsnews.org

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